Keynesian Macrodynamics: Convergence, Roads to Instability and the Emergence of Complex Business Fluctuations

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Title:Keynesian Macrodynamics: Convergence, Roads to Instability and the Emergence of Complex Business Fluctuations
Creators:
Chiarella, Carl
Hung, Hing
Flaschel, Peter
Journal or Publication Title:
AUCO Czech Economic Review, 4, 3, pp. 236-263
Uncontrolled Keywords:Keynesian dynamics, wage and price Phillips curves, persistent business cycles, complex dynamics

Abstract

We reformulate the traditional AS-AD growth model, with a Taylor policy rule replacing the conventional LM-curve. The essential features of the model are gradually adjusting wages and prices, perfect foresight on current inflation rates and an adaptive revision of the inflationary climate in which the economy is operating. We compare this approach with the New Keynesian approach with staggered price and wage setting and find that whilst both approaches have common components, they have radically different dynamic implications due to the treatment of the forward-looking part of our wage-price spiral. We show that an estimated version of our model implies local asymptotic stability, due to stable interaction of goods market dynamics with the interest rate policy rule of the central bank, and due to a normal working of a real-wage feedback chain. These results are however endangered when there is a global floor to money wage inflation rates, leading in fact to economic breakdown. In this latter case, the return of some money wage flexibility in deep depressions is of help in restoring the viability of the model, thereby avoiding explosive dynamics and the collapse of the economy.

Official URL: http://www.ceeol.com/aspx/issuedetails.aspx?issueid=003C3073-C371-49F5-B661-7B172CE96EF6&articleid=5F71A317-2524-4FB4-9546-A5BA3778D98A

Title:Keynesian Macrodynamics: Convergence, Roads to Instability and the Emergence of Complex Business Fluctuations
Creators:
Chiarella, Carl
Hung, Hing
Flaschel, Peter
Uncontrolled Keywords:Keynesian dynamics, wage and price Phillips curves, persistent business cycles, complex dynamics
Subjects:H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
H Social Sciences > HF Commerce
Divisions:Section of external journals > AUCO Czech Economic Review
Journal or Publication Title:AUCO Czech Economic Review
Volume:4
Number:3
Page Range:pp. 236-263
ISSN:1802-4696
Publisher:Charles University
Related URLs:
URLURL Type
http://auco.cuni.czPublisher
http://avi.lib.cas.cz/node/183Publisher
ID Code:6309
Item Type:Article
Deposited On:01 Dec 2010 18:09
Last Modified:01 Dec 2010 17:09

Citation

Chiarella, Carl; Hung, Hing; Flaschel, Peter (2010) Keynesian Macrodynamics: Convergence, Roads to Instability and the Emergence of Complex Business Fluctuations. AUCO Czech Economic Review, 4 (3). pp. 236-263. ISSN 1802-4696

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