Application of a technique for scenario prediction of climate change impact on the water balance components of northern river basins

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Title:Application of a technique for scenario prediction of climate change impact on the water balance components of northern river basins
Creators:
Gusev, Yeugeniy M.; Institute of Water Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, Gubkina St.3, 119333 Moscow, Russia.
Nasonova, Olga N.; Institute of Water Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, Gubkina St.3, 119333 Moscow, Russia.
Journal or Publication Title:
Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 62, 3, pp. 197-208
Uncontrolled Keywords:water balance components, climate change scenarios, land surface – atmosphere interactions, physicallybased land surface modeling, global data sets, northern river basins

Abstract

The scenario forecasting technique for assessing changes of water balance components of the northern river basins due to possible climate change was developed. Three IPCC global emission scenarios corresponding to different possible scenarios for economic, technological, political and demographic development of the human civilization in the 21st century were chosen for generating climate change projections by an ensemble of 16 General Circulation Models with a high spatial resolution. The projections representing increments of monthly values of meteorological characteristics were used for creating 3-hour meteorological time series up to 2063 for the Northern Dvina River basin, which belongs to the pan-Arctic basin and locates at the north of the European part of Russia. The obtained time series were applied as forcing data to drive the land surface model SWAP to simulate possible changes in the water balance components due to different scenarios of climate change for the Northern Dvina River basin.

Official URL: http://147.213.145.2/vc/vc1.asp

Title:Application of a technique for scenario prediction of climate change impact on the water balance components of northern river basins
Translated title:Application of a technique for scenario prediction of climate change impact on the water balance components of northern river basins
Creators:
Gusev, Yeugeniy M.; Institute of Water Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, Gubkina St.3, 119333 Moscow, Russia.
Nasonova, Olga N.; Institute of Water Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, Gubkina St.3, 119333 Moscow, Russia.
Uncontrolled Keywords:water balance components, climate change scenarios, land surface – atmosphere interactions, physicallybased land surface modeling, global data sets, northern river basins
Subjects:T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Divisions:Mathematics, Physics and Earth Sciences > Institute of Hydrodynamics > Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
Journal or Publication Title:Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
Volume:62
Number:3
Page Range:pp. 197-208
ISSN:0042-790X
Publisher:Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences and the Institute of Hydrodynamics of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
Related URLs:
URLURL Type
http://avi.lib.cas.cz/node/55Publisher
ID Code:8284
Item Type:Article
Deposited On:01 Oct 2014 13:27
Last Modified:01 Oct 2014 11:27

Citation

Gusev, Yeugeniy M.; Nasonova, Olga N. (2014) Application of a technique for scenario prediction of climate change impact on the water balance components of northern river basins. Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 62 (3). pp. 197-208. ISSN 0042-790X

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