Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers

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Title:Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers
Creators:
Stojković, Milan; milan dot stojkovic at jcerni dot co dot rs ; Jaroslav Černi Institute for the Development of Water Resources, Jaroslava Černog 80, Belgrade, Serbia.
Prohaska , Stevan; Jaroslav Černi Institute for the Development of Water Resources, Jaroslava Černog 80, Belgrade, Serbia.
Plavšić, Jasna ; University of Belgrade, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Bulevar Kralja Aleksandra 63, Belgrade, Serbia.
Journal or Publication Title:
Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 63, 1, pp. 63-70
Uncontrolled Keywords:stochastic model, flow simulation, long-term periodicity, single bootstrap model SBM

Abstract

Water resource has become a guarantee for sustainable development on both local and global scales. Exploiting water resources involves development of hydrological models for water management planning. In this paper we present a new stochastic model for generation of mean annul flows. The model is based on historical characteristics of time series of annual flows and consists of the trend component, long-term periodic component and stochastic component. The rest of specified components are model errors which are represented as a random time series. The random time series is generated by the single bootstrap model (SBM). Stochastic ensemble of error terms at the single hydrological station is formed using the SBM method. The ultimate stochastic model gives solutions of annual flows and presents a useful tool for integrated river basin planning and water management studies. The model is applied for ten large European rivers with long observed period. Validation of model results suggests that the stochastic flows simulated by the model can be used for hydrological simulations in river basins.

Official URL: http://147.213.145.2/vc/vc1.asp

Title:Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers
Translated title:Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers
Creators:
Stojković, Milan; milan dot stojkovic at jcerni dot co dot rs ; Jaroslav Černi Institute for the Development of Water Resources, Jaroslava Černog 80, Belgrade, Serbia.
Prohaska , Stevan; Jaroslav Černi Institute for the Development of Water Resources, Jaroslava Černog 80, Belgrade, Serbia.
Plavšić, Jasna ; University of Belgrade, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Bulevar Kralja Aleksandra 63, Belgrade, Serbia.
Uncontrolled Keywords:stochastic model, flow simulation, long-term periodicity, single bootstrap model SBM
Subjects:T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Divisions:Mathematics, Physics and Earth Sciences > Institute of Hydrodynamics > Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
Journal or Publication Title:Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
Volume:63
Number:1
Page Range:pp. 63-70
ISSN:0042-790X
Publisher:Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences and the Institute of Hydrodynamics of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
Related URLs:
URLURL Type
http://avi.lib.cas.cz/node/55Publisher
ID Code:8412
Item Type:Article
Deposited On:13 May 2015 19:23
Last Modified:13 May 2015 17:23

Citation

Stojković, Milan; Prohaska , Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna (2015) Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers. Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 63 (1). pp. 63-70. ISSN 0042-790X

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