Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity

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Title:Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity
Creators:
Marton, Daniel; marton dot d at fce dot vutbr dot cz; Brno University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Institute of Landscape Water Management, Veveří 331/95, 616 00, Brno, Czech republic.
Starý, Miloš; stary dot m at fce dot vutbr dot cz ; Brno University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Institute of Landscape Water Management, Veveří 331/95, 616 00, Brno, Czech republic.
Menšík , Pavel; mensik dot p at fce dot vutbr dot cz; Brno University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Institute of Landscape Water Management, Veveří 331/95, 616 00, Brno, Czech republic.
Journal or Publication Title:
Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 63, 4, pp. 287-294
Uncontrolled Keywords:uncertainties, reliability, reservoir storage capacity, Monte Carlo method, mean monthly flows, evaporation, elevation–volume curve, elevation–area curve

Abstract

The paper contains a sensitivity analysis of the influence of uncertainties in input hydrological, morphological and operating data required for a proposal for active reservoir conservation storage capacity and its achieved values. By introducing uncertainties into the considered inputs of the water management analysis of a reservoir, the subsequent analysed reservoir storage capacity is also affected with uncertainties. The values of water outflows from the reservoir and the hydrological reliabilities are affected with uncertainties as well. A simulation model of reservoir behaviour has been compiled with this kind of calculation as stated below. The model allows evaluation of the solution results, taking uncertainties into consideration, in contributing to a reduction in the occurrence of failure or lack of water during reservoir operation in low-water and dry periods.

Official URL: http://147.213.145.2/vc/vc1.asp

Title:Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity
Translated title:Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity
Creators:
Marton, Daniel; marton dot d at fce dot vutbr dot cz; Brno University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Institute of Landscape Water Management, Veveří 331/95, 616 00, Brno, Czech republic.
Starý, Miloš; stary dot m at fce dot vutbr dot cz ; Brno University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Institute of Landscape Water Management, Veveří 331/95, 616 00, Brno, Czech republic.
Menšík , Pavel; mensik dot p at fce dot vutbr dot cz; Brno University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Institute of Landscape Water Management, Veveří 331/95, 616 00, Brno, Czech republic.
Uncontrolled Keywords:uncertainties, reliability, reservoir storage capacity, Monte Carlo method, mean monthly flows, evaporation, elevation–volume curve, elevation–area curve
Subjects:T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Divisions:Mathematics, Physics and Earth Sciences > Institute of Hydrodynamics > Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
Journal or Publication Title:Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
Volume:63
Number:4
Page Range:pp. 287-294
ISSN:0042-790X
Publisher:Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences and the Institute of Hydrodynamics of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
Related URLs:
URLURL Type
http://avi.lib.cas.cz/node/55Publisher
ID Code:8492
Item Type:Article
Deposited On:10 Dec 2015 17:53
Last Modified:10 Dec 2015 16:53

Citation

Marton, Daniel; Starý, Miloš; Menšík , Pavel (2015) Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity. Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 63 (4). pp. 287-294. ISSN 0042-790X

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